yeahrightmate.comCountdown to accountability

19 bold claims. 9 deadlines passed. 8 were wrong.

FEATUREDPOLITICS

“A whole civilization will die tonight”

— Donald Trump

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87%YEAH RIGHT
82 votes
IT'S ON13%
AI/TECH
47%

“We are now confident we know how to build AGI”

— Sam Altman

1018d 00h 26m 59s

Think it'll happen?

AI/TECH
62%

“AI broadly better than all humans at almost all things by 2027”

— Dario Amodei

633d 00h 26m 58s

Think it'll happen?

AI/TECH
55%

“10:1 bet that AI won't accomplish AGI tasks by 2027”

— Gary Marcus

633d 00h 26m 58s

Think it'll happen?

AI/TECH
53%

“AGI probably three to five years away”

— Demis Hassabis

1378d 00h 26m 59s

Think it'll happen?

ECONOMY
77%

“US-China tariff truce expires November 10”

— Donald Trump / Xi Jinping

216d 00h 26m 59s

Think it'll happen?

ECONOMY
80%

“Section 122 tariffs expire (150-day legal limit)”

— US Government

103d 00h 26m 59s

Think it'll happen?

AI/TECH
87%

“AI will displace 85 million jobs by 2026”

— World Economic Forum

268d 00h 26m 58s

Think it'll happen?

AI/TECH
77%

“80% of enterprises will deploy generative AI by 2026”

— Gartner

268d 00h 26m 58s

Think it'll happen?

DOOMSDAY
50%

“The Singularity by 2045”

— Ray Kurzweil

7208d 00h 26m 58s

Think it'll happen?

EXPIRED
POLITICSEXPIRED
81%

“48 hours to open the Strait of Hormuz”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 81%80 votesIT'S ON 19%
POLITICSEXPIRED
89%

“48 hours before all Hell will reign down”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 89%80 votesIT'S ON 11%
POLITICSEXPIRED
80%

“Pausing energy plant destruction for 10 days”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 80%30 votesIT'S ON 20%
POLITICSEXPIRED
55%

“Mexico will pay for the wall”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 55%20 votesIT'S ON 45%
POLITICSEXPIRED
80%

“Ending the Russia-Ukraine war quickly”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 80%20 votesIT'S ON 20%
CULTUREEXPIRED
80%

“100% tariff on movies made outside the US”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 80%20 votesIT'S ON 20%
CRYPTOEXPIRED
100%

“Bitcoin to $200K by end of 2025”

— Standard Chartered / Various Analysts

YEAH RIGHT 100%20 votesIT'S ON 0%
AI/TECHEXPIRED
90%

“Full Self-Driving "next year" (every year since 2014)”

— Elon Musk

YEAH RIGHT 90%20 votesIT'S ON 10%
POLITICSEXPIRED
90%

“Deal with China in 30 days (2025)”

— Donald Trump

YEAH RIGHT 90%20 votesIT'S ON 10%