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WORLD CUP 2026
CALL BS
THE SCOREBOARD
THE DATA
Countdown to accountability
Runway CEO's Scoreboard | yeahrightmate.com
AI/TECH
“10:1 bet that AI won't accomplish AGI tasks by 2027”
59%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AI broadly better than all humans at almost all things by 2027”
58%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“We are now confident we know how to build AGI”
51%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“US-China tariff truce expires November 10”
60%
YR
|
6d LEFT
POLITICS
“2-week ceasefire will resolve the Iran crisis”
56%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“Tariffs will bring prices down for American families”
82%
YR
|
SPORTS
“Both NZ and Australia will finish 2nd in their World Cup groups”
58%
YR
|
POLITICS
“Luxon will win the 2026 NZ election”
53%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“Section 122 tariffs expire (150-day legal limit)”
73%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“80% of enterprises will deploy generative AI by 2026”
62%
YR
|
POLITICS
“DOGE will save $2 trillion in government spending”
83%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AI will displace 85 million jobs by 2026”
85%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“The economic recovery is up and running”
67%
YR
|
POLITICS
“Labour will win the 2026 NZ election”
69%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“KiwiSaver contributions to match Australia's 12%”
72%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“The US economy will be the strongest it has ever been”
76%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“NZ fuel reserves crisis will be resolved without disruption”
72%
YR
|
SPORTS
“England will beat Ghana”
46%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AGI probably three to five years away”
63%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“Neuralink will have multiple human patients by end of 2026”
67%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“10:1 bet that AI won't accomplish AGI tasks by 2027”
59%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AI broadly better than all humans at almost all things by 2027”
58%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“We are now confident we know how to build AGI”
51%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“US-China tariff truce expires November 10”
60%
YR
|
6d LEFT
POLITICS
“2-week ceasefire will resolve the Iran crisis”
56%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“Tariffs will bring prices down for American families”
82%
YR
|
SPORTS
“Both NZ and Australia will finish 2nd in their World Cup groups”
58%
YR
|
POLITICS
“Luxon will win the 2026 NZ election”
53%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“Section 122 tariffs expire (150-day legal limit)”
73%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“80% of enterprises will deploy generative AI by 2026”
62%
YR
|
POLITICS
“DOGE will save $2 trillion in government spending”
83%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AI will displace 85 million jobs by 2026”
85%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“The economic recovery is up and running”
67%
YR
|
POLITICS
“Labour will win the 2026 NZ election”
69%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“KiwiSaver contributions to match Australia's 12%”
72%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“The US economy will be the strongest it has ever been”
76%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“NZ fuel reserves crisis will be resolved without disruption”
72%
YR
|
SPORTS
“England will beat Ghana”
46%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AGI probably three to five years away”
63%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“Neuralink will have multiple human patients by end of 2026”
67%
YR
|
SCOREBOARD
Runway CEO's Scoreboard
1
TOTAL CLAIMS
0
EXPIRED
0
HAPPENED
0
AMBIGUOUS
—
BS RATE
ACTIVE CLAIMS
AI/TECH
“Will AI Help Hollywood Make 50 Films Instead of One Blockbuster?”
365d 01h 18m 27s
YEAH RIGHT 71%
YEAH RIGHT 71%
IT'S ON 29%