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WORLD CUP 2026
CALL BS
THE SCOREBOARD
THE DATA
Countdown to accountability
Sam Altman's World's Scoreboard | yeahrightmate.com
AI/TECH
“10:1 bet that AI won't accomplish AGI tasks by 2027”
46%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“We are now confident we know how to build AGI”
49%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AI broadly better than all humans at almost all things by 2027”
55%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“NZ fuel reserves crisis will be resolved without disruption”
66%
YR
|
POLITICS
“Trumps approval rating will drop below 35% in 2026”
80%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“80% of enterprises will deploy generative AI by 2026”
60%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“The US will enter a recession in 2026”
67%
YR
|
SPORTS
“England will beat Ghana”
58%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AI will displace 85 million jobs by 2026”
75%
YR
|
POLITICS
“Luxon will win the 2026 NZ election”
62%
YR
|
4d LEFT
POLITICS
“2-week ceasefire will resolve the Iran crisis”
72%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“Tariffs will bring prices down for American families”
82%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“US-China tariff truce expires November 10”
65%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“Neuralink will have multiple human patients by end of 2026”
84%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AGI probably three to five years away”
54%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“SpaceX will NOT send Starship to Mars in 2026”
66%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“The US economy will be the strongest it has ever been”
79%
YR
|
POLITICS
“National will poll under 30% by election day”
64%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AI-generated video will appear in mainstream TV shows by end of 2026”
68%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“Zuckerberg: billions will wear AI glasses, replacing phones”
67%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“10:1 bet that AI won't accomplish AGI tasks by 2027”
46%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“We are now confident we know how to build AGI”
49%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AI broadly better than all humans at almost all things by 2027”
55%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“NZ fuel reserves crisis will be resolved without disruption”
66%
YR
|
POLITICS
“Trumps approval rating will drop below 35% in 2026”
80%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“80% of enterprises will deploy generative AI by 2026”
60%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“The US will enter a recession in 2026”
67%
YR
|
SPORTS
“England will beat Ghana”
58%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AI will displace 85 million jobs by 2026”
75%
YR
|
POLITICS
“Luxon will win the 2026 NZ election”
62%
YR
|
4d LEFT
POLITICS
“2-week ceasefire will resolve the Iran crisis”
72%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“Tariffs will bring prices down for American families”
82%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“US-China tariff truce expires November 10”
65%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“Neuralink will have multiple human patients by end of 2026”
84%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AGI probably three to five years away”
54%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“SpaceX will NOT send Starship to Mars in 2026”
66%
YR
|
ECONOMY
“The US economy will be the strongest it has ever been”
79%
YR
|
POLITICS
“National will poll under 30% by election day”
64%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“AI-generated video will appear in mainstream TV shows by end of 2026”
68%
YR
|
AI/TECH
“Zuckerberg: billions will wear AI glasses, replacing phones”
67%
YR
|
SCOREBOARD
Sam Altman's World's Scoreboard
1
TOTAL CLAIMS
0
EXPIRED
0
HAPPENED
0
AMBIGUOUS
—
BS RATE
ACTIVE CLAIMS
AI/TECH
“Sam Altman's World to verify Tinder users”
60d 12h 04m 11s
YEAH RIGHT 50%
YEAH RIGHT 50%
IT'S ON 50%